Na2 Perspective Podcast on LinkedIn: S5E3 "SETTING THE STAGE for a SAD… (2024)

S5E3 "SETTING THE STAGE for a SAD STORY"https://lnkd.in/djGDGKpUWelcome loyal listeners ~ fans & followers to the 📌 Na2 Perspective ~ Today is SATURDAY August 26th ~THIS IS SEASON 5 ~ Episode 3 entitled "SETTING THE STAGE for a SAD STORY" I'm your host Khalid NattoEarnings season starts with bank earnings reports and ends with retail earnings.FOCUS ON THE 1,2, 31. Banks2. Rating agencies 3. Retail StocksSo let's sift through seasonal dataThe hope of recovery narrative VERSUSThe Economic data, the banks comments and finally retail companies comments.BANKS● Limited Refinancing ● Rising defaults ● Rising rates ● Rising UnionsRATING AGENCIESThe storyline was dim to be sure .. Cascading credit Ratings .. like a river over a waterfall .... Fitch, Moodys, and S&P downgraded BANKS That storyline manifested itself in the market...The consumer credit crunch drove the consuner cyclicals down under the assumption that there's no money to go around RETAIL STOCKSThe retail stocks came in selling stories of shifting consumer demand... people are chasing values and stretching their dollarsESSENTIALLY weak demand for push products and a ongoing TRUE CRIME about shop liftersDespite the dramaConsuner cyclicals rallied up 5.71% for the Week On a year on year basis the sector was up 4 32%Companies whose stocks are cyclical include car manufacturers, airlines, furniture retailers, clothing stores, hotels, and restaurants. REMEMBER the RHYME AND REASON When the economy is doing well, people can afford to buy new cars, upgrade their homes, shop, and travel.Our new narrative is far from a success storyThanks for taking the time to tune in Warmest regards /s/Khalid Natto Email khalidnatto@gwu.edu ➢ Ex Savola ➢ Ex Morgan Stanley VP ➢ Ex BSF ➢ George Washington University Alum Disclaimer: The aforementioned content is informational only and based on information available when created. It is not an offer or a solicitation nor is it tax or legal advice. It does not consider your financial circ*mstances and objectives and may not be suitable for you

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U.S. Financial Market Update: The Week Ahead Aug 7, 2023– DID U.S. INFLATION REACCELERATE IN JULY?On Thursday morning, July consumer price index (CPI) data is projected to show the annual rate of headline inflation in the U.S. picked up slightly to 3.3% from a 27-month low of 3.0% in the twelve months spanning July 2022 to June 2023. A 6% monthly gain in the AAA daily national average price for a gallon of retail gasoline from $3.53 on June 30 to an 8-month high of $3.75 on July 31 is likely to have prevented further cooling of CPI last month.– DISNEY EARNINGS:After the market closes Wednesday, Disney (DIS) reports fiscal third quarter results. All eyes will be on the company’s progress toward streaming segment profitability, plans for its ESPN segment and challenges related to the Hollywood writers and actors strikes. In a CNBC interview three weeks ago, CEO Bob Iger described the company’s linear TV assets as “noncore”, including ESPN and networks ABC, FX, and Freeform. Iger recently recruited two former high-level DIS executives to help lead an effort to find a strategic partner for the company’s ESPN segment. On July 12, the DIS board extended Iger’s contract through the end of 2024 to provide more time to implement his strategic turnaround and find a successor.Read the fullU.S. Financial Market Update: The Week Ahead Aug. 7, 2023here.https://lnkd.in/gmctqKNh#marketanalysis #marketanalysis #weekahead #earnings #CPI #stockmarket #bondmarket #centier #centierfinancialpartners #wealthmanagement #privatebank

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📢 Exciting ‘Friday Readings’ in the world of finance! Here’s what caught our attention:🔍 This article investigates how embedded finance seamlessly integrates financial services into non-financial platforms, improving user experience and creating new revenue streams, particularly in mobile-centric Southeast Asia: https://lnkd.in/dP36MQHw🔍 The article examines the U.S. bond market and focuses on changes in yield levels and curve slopes. It discusses the bond risk premia model, which considers different risks, both continuous and related to economic conditions: https://lnkd.in/dTSfaBXc🔍 Explore rapid stock price changes & short squeezes like GameStop's 2021 saga. Understand options Greeks, incl. Gamma, to leverage market moves, but beware stock price risks: https://lnkd.in/dxS_VzGJ 🔄✨ Stay in the loop with Hudson & Thames Quantitative Research every Friday! 📚 Get informed and stay up-to-date with the latest insights and updates!🌐 Join our newsletter: https://lnkd.in/dKSj-fSX 💻

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Not bad but not great seems to be the latest theme from Disney. Check out latest alpha-i for more alpha ideas 💡🤑https://lnkd.in/ezdpUgF8#stocks #stockmarket #stockinvesting #stockoptions #calloptions #putoptions #stockinvestment #investing #investment #finance #business #equity #fintech #ai #artificialintelligence #marketintelligence #alpha #alpha_i #economy #economics #macroeconomics #stockforecasts #stockpredictions #disney #disneyplus #honeywell #federalreserve

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📈 Unraveling the Fed's Dot Plot Drama! 📊 Dive into the aftermath of September's announcement, market reactions, and the anticipation building up to next Wednesday's new dot plot release. Will it be a more measured outlook? Find out the latest twists in the financial saga! 🚀🌐 #FedDotPlot #MarketInsights

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Perhaps we’re starting to see the turn. A turn that is perhaps to value and to market leaders beyond the seven or eight who’ve driven most of the gains this year – until June. Adam Turnquist, CMT joins Jeff Buchbinder on #LPLMarketSignals to chart a potentially emerging bull market and how the banking sector may factor in → https://ow.ly/MYNt50PnZ6i

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Mish’s Daily: Key Market Relationships for Next Big MoveOctober 24, 2023First off, we are heading out of town to New York where I will be visiting in studio several media channels and hosts.Then, we are off to Orlando for the MoneyShow November 1st, Keith and I go on vacation until the middle of the month.This is the last Daily I will be writing for awhile.However, I will have several clips in the next few days to share and Geoff Bysshe will be occasionally writing the Daily in my absence.With that said, today I began the day with Benzinga Market Prep Show.I am featuring this today as content because I hope it helps you look at the market objectively.We did not discuss inflation, which as you are aware of, I believe can go hyper as geopolitical stress, social unrest, strikes for higher wages and mother nature could each or worse, all, kick into gear.We discussed bonds, small caps, commercial real estate, retail, and a couple of stocks.In that discussion, and on the heels of Bill Ackman’s statements along with our own technical indicators, we spell out the exact relationships to watch.Monday’s Daily explained how much long bonds factor into the equity (and commodity) equation.We also cover small caps and the monthly charts, along with SPY, QQQ, Transports (IYT) and Retail (XRT).If the decades have taught me anything, it’s that the simpler you can make the definitions, the better the comprehension.It is with that in mind that we show you how easy it will be in just a short time, to see where this market heads next.Link to video: https://lnkd.in/efJUB9vSTo analysis: https://lnkd.in/eEjryqtS

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I didn't get a chance to close out 2023, sorry for the delay. It is almost common knowledge that the market and the firms on the Street have a great fascination with predictions and forecasts. Unfortunately, these attempts to predict the future based on assumptions and probabilities will unfortunately often miss their mark. As we think back to 2023 it was a year ripe with predictions and forecasts. But in retrospect few of those forecasts came to pass, at least in the time frames that they were expected to occur.Read the Q4 Market Update Newsletter "Closing the Door on 2023" #MarshallTepperGroup #MarketUpdate

Navigate the complexities of the bond market with our latest blog rundown! Unravel the positive turn of events as 10-year yield bonds drop from 4.05 to 3.95, coupled with Friday's impressive PPI data. This week, we delve into the fluctuation patterns 📊 and decipher the subtleties of the financial market's ongoing activities.Dive deeper to make sense of potential short squeezes and look forward as we anticipate upcoming reports from Fed's Waller and Retail Sales. Join us on this financial expedition and emerge more informed than ever! #BondsMarket #FinancialInsights #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicTrends.

U.S. Financial Market Update: The Week AheadLast Updated on Aug 7, 2023DID U.S. INFLATION REACCELERATE IN JULY?On Thursday morning, July consumer price index (CPI) data is projected to show the annual rate of headline inflation in the U.S. picked up slightly to 3.3% from a 27-month low of 3.0% in the twelve months spanning July 2022 to June 2023. A 6% monthly gain in the AAA daily national average price for a gallon of retail gasoline from $3.53 on June 30 to an 8-month high of $3.75 on July 31 is likely to have prevented further cooling of CPI last month.– DISNEY EARNINGS:After the market closes Wednesday, Disney (DIS) reports fiscal third quarter results. All eyes will be on the company’s progress toward streaming segment profitability, plans for its ESPN segment and challenges related to the Hollywood writers and actors strikes. In a CNBC interview three weeks ago, CEO Bob Iger described the company’s linear TV assets as “noncore”, including ESPN and networks ABC, FX, and Freeform. Iger recently recruited two former high-level DIS executives to help lead an effort to find a strategic partner for the company’s ESPN segment. On July 12, the DIS board extended Iger’s contract through the end of 2024 to provide more time to implement his strategic turnaround and find a successor.Read the fullU.S. Financial Market Update: The Week Ahead Aug. 7, 2023here.https://lnkd.in/gd2Vs2Kg#CentierBank #FinancialMarketUpdate #Inflation #Earnings

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